Monday, January 26, 2009

Clearing single-name CDSs may prove uneconomical

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Clearing single-name CDSs may prove uneconomical
Friday, January 23, 2009 10:01 AM
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Clearing single-name CDSs may prove uneconomical

High margin requirements may make central clearing of single-name credit default swaps (CDS) impossibly expensive, according to one clearing specialist.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Right On - Mr. President! Day One 1-22-09

I cannot applaud the Ethics statement enough made on PBS at 10:30 a.m. today 1/22/09! The desire to re-route ethical breaches and past abuses is a significant step in Presidential Ethical Leadership.

Now if I can get the agency that has been monitoring my email trevathantim@yahoo.com, inhibiting my searches on that email and coming into my home to leave 'messages' of invisible intent [very Bush-onian [Nixonian] behaviors] off of my back - it would be nice. Writing leaders, whether Mayoral, Governor or Senate/ Presidential candidates is our right and obligation as citizens. But when government responds by using tactics that dissuade interest and act to quiet 'dissenters' of the republic [not democracy like Plato's Republic' Shadows of the cave, it is a bigger problem.

President Obama is addressing these problems immediately, but check your new 'crew' for old behaviors [especially left-over inquires, investigations and neo-con stasi rule ideology.

These tactics are known among organized crime [Seen on the Sopranos when he steals his therapists car without her permission to fix-it unbeknown to her to show his power to her and try to impress her], and agencies like the FBI & CIA. They cannot legally 'kill', but the slow chemical punishment used to psychologically harass, disrupt and disorient their targets is well documented.

This on-going harassment is made to discredit any journalist [Read: James Bamford's writing on the CIA] or citizen journalist that Defense agencies feel are a 'threat' or disrupt their [previous] ineffective bureaucratic abilities.

Citizens who logon to networks that flush out real-world terrorist endanger themselves and some of the government 'honey-traps' that attract these elements, but NSA oversight should be active enough to identify U.S. originated efforts vs. out of country I.P. addresses. That they steal this woman's car and 'shoot it up' as a warning is to threaten and warn. If real threats were in play - this woman would be easily tracked and in fact be dead.

Putting chemicals on my pillow, lounge-chair, my toilet seat and in my food in low doses may sound quite 'paranoid', but the evidences mount continually and the police cannot do a thing about it.

These clandestine 'messages' of disapproval [since citizen journalism is a valid way of say detecting say allotment of forces to Afghanistan and the justification by Sn. Feinstein visible to an ignorant previous administration, exposure of a $50-100bn tax refuge in Lichenstein being advertised in a Sovereign wealth newsletter, exposure of an Attorney General and past presidential advisor's evidence of compliance to corruption, abuses of government official power in using the FBI to intimidate and investigate in improper ways, previous tactics of re-districting, accounting rules and using double books to account for electoral finances, and finally, helping to expose the massive failures within the banking system that led to the sub-prime failures. All this from a citizen journalist with documented results [when the yahoo address is not disabled].

Call off the Dogs - I'm on your side! But no one appreciates being harassed, having draconian methods of clandestine harassment exercised against them, their house being repeatedly broken into [when a 'plant' Vietnam Vet' gets a hold of the key to your house via a room rental application guise].

Power, even under the guise of protection can be abused. Traps or protective devices within my home could be used to assure the total destruction of anyone entering my home in an unauthorized fashion, but to this point I have not exercised that option. I may not remain that patient. [The Bourne series gives me a few good ideas though....]

Having the Integrity & Humilty To Start the Day Right!

I could tell by the look on the girl's faces that they had been raised in a very conservative christian home. Grandma has done well. There was not joy or awe looking at the parade, but a puzzled wonderment about the masses of humanity and the parade of dignitaries, marching bands and performers.

This was a world that was going to take some time to absorb! Take the time to process their feelings and 'talk it out'. The immensity and proportion of what has happened to you and your family is going to take a lifetime for them to adjust to [and it doesn't end - just gets passed on as 'legacy' for now on]. That is how white folks think in the upper crust, might as well begin to prepare them for the same, a legacy and the responsibility that goes on with having the chain go unbroken for the monarchy structure of the past. Entitlement, hand-off's of senate seats, you know, the brokering of power once received for the next fiefdom in the next generation....

POTUS Events

Morning Service

President Barack Obama's first full day in office starts with a worship service at Washington's National Cathedral. Obama will be joined by Vice President Joe Biden, dignitaries and Americans of different faiths in prayer, readings, and musical performances.

The invitation-only service starts at 10 a.m. ET and Reverend Dr. Sharon Watkins will deliver the sermon, making her the first woman to play this role during inauguration week.

An Open (White) House

Following the service, Obama offers a tour of the White House to the public. Don't run to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. though, as this is a ticketed event.

Policy Plans

As for policy discussions, meetings about the economy and Iraq are at the top of Obama's agenda today. He will sit down with his economic advisers to discuss a stimulus package and then meets with the Joint Chiefs of Staff to discuss the state of U.S. troops in Iraq.

--Sarah Lovenheim

Posted at 6:45 AM ET on Jan 21, 2009
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Friday, January 16, 2009

The 43 Who Helped Make Bush The Worst Ever - Yes, You are responsible for your People

The 43 Who Helped Make Bush The Worst Ever
Friday, January 16, 2009 9:17 AM
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THE PROGRESS REPORT
January 16, 2009

by Faiz Shakir, Amanda Terkel, Satyam Khanna, Matt Corley, Benjamin Armbruster, Ali Frick, Ryan Powers, Pat Garofalo, Igor Volsky, Matt Duss, Brad Johnson, and Matt Yglesias

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ADMINISTRATION
The 43 Who Helped Make Bush The Worst Ever

Next week, "change is coming to America," as President George W. Bush wraps up his tenure as one of the worst American presidents ever. He wasn't able to accomplish such an ignominious feat all by himself, however; he had a great deal of help along the way. The Progress Report heralds the conclusion of the Bush 43 presidency by bringing you our list of the top 43 worst Bush appointees. Did we miss anyone? Who should have been ranked higher? Let us know what you think.

1. Dick Cheney -- The worst Dick since Nixon. The man who shot his friend while in office. The "most powerful and controversial vice president." Until he got the job, people used to actually think it was a bad thing that the vice presidency has historically been a do-nothing position. Asked by PBS's Jim Lehrer about why people hate him, Cheney rejected the premise, saying, "I don't buy that." His top placement in our survey says otherwise.

2. Karl Rove -- There wasn't a scandal in the Bush administration that Rove didn't have his fingerprints all over -- see Plame, Iraq war deception, Gov. Don Siegelman, U.S. Attorney firings, missing e-mails, and more. As senior political adviser and later as deputy chief of staff, "The Architect" was responsible for politicizing nearly every agency of the federal government.

3. Alberto Gonzales -- Fundamentally dishonest and woefully incompetent, Gonzales was involved in a series of scandals, first as White House counsel and then as Attorney General. Some of the most notable: pressuring a "feeble" and "barely articulate" Attorney General Ashcroft at his hospital bedside to sign off on Bush's illegal wiretapping program; approving waterboarding and other torture techniques to be used against detainees; and leading the firing of U.S. Attorneys deemed not sufficiently loyal to Bush.

4. Donald Rumsfeld -- After winning praise for leading the U.S. effort in ousting the Taliban from Afghanistan in 2001, the former Defense Secretary strongly advocated for the invasion of Iraq and then grossly misjudged and mishandled its aftermath. Rumsfeld is also responsible for authorizing the use of torture against terror detainees in U.S. custody; according to a bipartisan Senate report, Rumsfeld "conveyed the message that physical pressures and degradation were appropriate treatment for detainees."

5. Michael Brown -- This former commissioner of the International Arabian Horse Association was appointed by Bush to head FEMA in 2003. After Katrina made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane, Brownie promptly did a "heck of a job" bungling the government's relief efforts, and was sent back to Washington a few days later. He was forced to resign shortly thereafter.

6. Paul Wolfowitz -- As Deputy Secretary of Defense from 2001 to 2005, Wolfowitz was one of the primary architects of the Iraq war, arguing for the invasion as early as Sept. 15, 2001. Testifying before Congress in February 2003, Wolfowitz said that it was "hard to conceive that it would take more forces to provide stability in post-Saddam Iraq than it would take to conduct the war itself." Wolfowitz eventually admitted that "for bureaucratic reasons, we settled on one issue, weapons of mass destruction," as a justification for war, "because it was the one reason everyone [in the administration] could agree on."

7. David Addington -- "Cheney's Cheney" was the "most powerful man you've never heard of." As the leader of Bush's legal team and Cheney's chief of staff, Addington was the biggest proponent of some of Bush's most notorious legal abuses, such as torture and warrantless surveillance, and is a loyal follower of the so-called unitary executive theory.

8. Stephen Johnson -- The "Alberto Gonzales of the environment," EPA Administrator Johnson subverted the agency's mission at the behest of the White House and corporate interests, suppressing staff recommendations on pesticides, mercury, lead paint, smog, and global warming.

9. Douglas Feith -- Undersecretary of Defense for Policy from 2001-2005, Feith headed up the notorious Office of Special Plans, an in-house Pentagon intelligence shop devised by Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz to produce intelligence to justify the invasion of Iraq. A subsequent investigation by the Pentagon's Inspector General found the OSP's work produced "conclusions that were not fully supported by the available intelligence."

10. John Bolton -- As Undersecretary of State, Bolton offered a strong voice in favor of invading Iraq and pushed for the U.S. to disengage from the International Criminal Court and key international arms control agreements. A recess appointment landed Bolton the job of U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, despite his stringent animosity toward the world body. Today, he spends his time calling for war with Iran.

11. John Yoo -- As a lawyer for the Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel, Yoo authored a series of legal memos giving military interrogators authority to use torture and coercive techniques when interviewing terrorist suspects. Yoo said that only those techniques that inflict pain equivalent to "death, organ failure or permanent damage resulting in a loss of significant body functions" constitute torture. Last year, he refused to answer whether or not the president could order a detainee to be buried alive.

12. Ari Fleischer -- Bush's first press secretary helped redefine the role as that of liar-in-chief rather than informer of the public, earning a reputation as "the world's most dishonest flack." Whereas his successors sometimes looked uncomfortable lying, Fleischer was having fun, spinning a cowed and gullible press corps through two massive tax cuts and the initiation of a war undertaken on false pretenses.

13. John Ashcroft -- In 2003, as Bush's first Attorney General, Ashcroft approved waterboarding and other torture techniques on detainees. Ashcroft's nomination was controversial, as he had a history of opposing school desegregation. The chief architect of the invasive Patriot Act, Ashcroft maintains to this day that Bush is "among the most respectful of all leaders ever" of civil liberties.

14. Henry Paulson -- Even as the financial system was crashing down around him, Treasury Secretary Paulson insisted for months that th e banking system was "safe and sound." Once he decided that the economy needed saving, Paulson requested nearly unfettered authority to send billions of taxpayer dollars to banks with no oversight.

15. L. Paul Bremer -- This Presidential Medal of Freedom winner took over the Coalition Provisional Authority in May 2003. Under his mismanagement, the insurgency exploded in Iraq. Bremer claimed he had all the troops he needed to secure the country, overestimated the strength of the new U.S.-trained Iraqi army, disbanded the Iraqi army leaving thousands of Iraqi soldiers with no income and no occupation, and enacted a de-Baathification law that barred many experienced Iraqis from government positions.

16. Bradley Schlozman -- As a recent DOJ Inspector General report demonstrates, Schlozman was a central figure in Bush's politicization of the Justice Department. Violating civil service laws, Schlozman used political and ideological considerations to ensure that only "right-thinking Americans" received jobs. He eventually lied to Congress about his efforts.

17. J. Steven Griles -- A former energy lobbyist and no. 2 official in the Interior Department, Griles went to jail for lying to Congress about illegal favors he did for corrupt lobbyist Jack Abramoff. Griles also abused his position "to unlock nearly every legal barrier to exploitation" of our nation's oil and mineral reserves. Before his conviction, Griles left the White House to become a lobbyist for ConocoPhillips.

18. Condoleezza Rice -- As Bush's national security adviser, Rice was another strong advocate for invading Iraq, once famously warning that the U.S. should attack Iraq and not wait for solid proof of its WMD because "we don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud." Rice also ignored an urgent warning from the CIA before the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks that a strike inside the U.S. was imminent.

19. Scooter Libby -- Cheney's former chief of staff was a key player in the outing of CIA operative Valerie Plame as part of the Bush administration's quest to punish Plame's husband, former ambassador Joseph Wilson, for publishing an op-ed debunking one of the White House's main justifications for invading Iraq. Libby was ultimately convicted of perjury and obstructing justice in a federal investigation into Plame's outing but later had his 30-month prison sentence commuted by Bush.

20. Monica Goodling -- Goodling was the most notorious graduate of Pat Robertson's Regent University during her tenure in the Justice Department. As the White House liaison at the DOJ, she based the department's hiring of candidates on their sexual preference, GOP loyalty, and adherence to conservative ideology.

21. Alphonso Jackson -- As Housing and Urban Development Secretary, Jackson let the U.S. housing market crumble while he was busy giving lucrative contracts to his golfing buddies, retaliating against Bush critics, and erecting giant photo homages to himself.

22. Michael Hayden -- As director of the National Security Agency, Hayden ran Bush's warrantless wiretapping program and misled Congress about the program's legality. After moving to the CIA, he dismissed the destruction of evidence implicating the CIA in torture as "in line with the law."

23. Lurita Doan -- The former head of the General Services Administration (GSA)who doled out a no-bid contract to a friend, Doan famously hosted a meeting of White House political operatives where she asked how GSA employees could "help 'our candidates' in the next election." After the Office of Special Counsel called for her firing, she was forced to resign at the request of the White House.

24. Gale Norton -- A former industry lobbyist and Bush's first Secretary of the Interior, Norton pushed a radical ideological agenda "through regulatory rollbacks, suppression of science, preferential treatment, and collusion with industry" -- including doctoring scientific findings on the impacts of oil drilling on caribou. After resigning under the cloud of ties to Jack Abramoff, she joined Shell Oil.

25. Lester Crawford -- After promising to act on the morning-after contraceptive pill during his confirmation hearings, the former FDA Commissioner "indefinitely postponed nonprescription sales of emergency contraception over the objections of staff scientists who had declared the pill safe." Crawford resigned after just two months on the job and later pleaded guilty "to charges that he hid his ownership of stock in food and drug companies that his agency regulated."

26. Harriet Miers -- Well-known for being Bush's failed Supreme Court nominee, Miers also thought it was "important" to her as White House Counsel that Rove protege Tim Griffin was installed as a U.S. Attorney, making her a central figure in the U.S. Attorney scandal. She is said to have called Bush "the most brilliant man she had ever met."

27. Hans Von Spakovsky -- Originally a political appointee in the Civil Rights Division of the Justice Department, Spakovsky "injected partisan political factors into decision-making" and used every opportunity "to make it difficult for voters -- poor, minority and Democratic -- to go to the polls." In 2008, Spakovsky withdrew his name from consideration for the FEC, following months of opposition from lawmakers and civil rights groups.

28. Tommy Franks -- As head of U.S. Central Command from 2000 to 2003, Franks oversaw Osama bin Laden's great escape from Afghanistan, gave orders for the stabilization of Iraq via PowerPoint, assumed that the U.S. would draw down to 25,000 troops by the end of 2004, and had American soldiers stand idly by as chaos and lawlessness took hold after the invasion.

29. Thomas Scully -- As chief administrator for the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Scully was the White House's head negotiator on the Medicare prescription drug bill. Scully threatened to fire chief actuary Richard Foster if he revealed that Bush's Medicare Part D legislation "would cost 25% to 50% more than the Bush administration's public estimates."

30. Julie MacDonald -- A top Interior Department appointee, MacDonald "interjected herself personally and profoundly" and "tainted nearly every decision made on the protection of endangered species" over a five-year period, intimidating the staff with "abrupt and abrasive, if not abusive" tactics. MacDonald also leaked government documents to a young acquaintance whom she met while playing "internet role-playing games."

31. William Haynes -- As the former general counsel at the Defense Department, he was part of a five-person team of high-level administration lawyers, dubbed the "War Council," that tossed the Geneva Conventions aside and hatched out the legal framework for torture in secret meetings.

32. David Safavian -- Safavian was (twice) tried and convicted for his role in the jack Abramoff scandal. Safavian was found guilty of "lying and obstructing justice" in an attempt to cover-up "his many efforts to assist Abramoff in acquiring two properties controlled by the GSA."

33. James Connaughton -- As chairman of the White House Council of Environmental Quality, Connaughton wrote EPA press releases downplaying the danger of the air quality in lower Manhattan following 9/11. "A former lobbyist for utilities, mining, chemical, and other industrial polluters," Connaughton insisted "there's a lot of disagreement" about humans' impact on global warming, and he touted a bogus study purporting to show that the 20th century was not unusually warm.

34. William Luti -- A former Navy officer and Cheney aide, Luti was dispatched to the Pentagon in 2001 to work underneath Feith to find "evidence" to support his boss's belief in conspiracy theories linking Saddam to al Qaeda. Luti was an integral component of Cheney's campaign to pressure intelligence professionals to conform their judgments to administration policy rather than reality.

35. Susan Orr -- As Assistant Deputy Secretary for Population Affairs, this former Family Research Council official oversaw funding for the only federal program that provided contraceptive services to low-income Americans. Orr cheered Bush's anti-contraception record, saying, "Fertility is not a disease. It's not a medical necessity that you have [contraception]."

36. Christopher Cox -- Under Chairman Cox, the Securities and Exchange Commission censored internal reports showing that it ignored critical signs pointing to Wall Street's meltdown. Cox's SEC also failed to detect Bernie Madoff's $50 billion Ponzi scheme, despite a decade of warnings.

37. Elliott Abrams -- An Iran-Contra convict pardoned by Bush 41, Abrams was named by Bush 43 as the Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Democracy, Human Rights, and International Operations. As a founding Project for a New American Century signatory and a staunchly pro-Israel neoconservative, Abrams supported expanding Israel 's 2006 bombing of Lebanon into Syria and advocated a Fatah coup after Hamas won the February 2006 Palestinian elections.

38. Philip Cooney -- A former oil lobbyist who served as chief of staff of the White House Council on Environmental Quality, Cooney doctored climate reports to "soften" words and phrases linking greenhouse gas emissions to global warming. After his political interference was revealed, Cooney left the White House to become a lobbyist for Exxon.

39. Colin Powell -- Though Bush called him "an American hero" when he appointed him to be the first African-American Secretary of State, Powell placed an ugly "blot" on his record when he pushed the Bush administration's faulty case for the Iraq war in a speech to the U.N. on Feb.5, 2003, using inaccurate information. Liberal hawks and the media rallied around Powell's false case, calling it the "winning hand" for war.

40. Elaine Chao -- The Labor Secretary made it through all eight years of the Bush administration, driving morale at the Labor Department so low that staffers threw a "good-riddance party" to cheer her departure. She leaves behind a "deeply troubled department" that "spent eight years attacking workers' rights, strong workplace health and safety rules, and unions while they carried the water for Big Business."

41. Julie Myers -- After being hired as head of Immigration and Customs Enforcement based on little more than her personal connections, Myers made herself famous by awarding "Most Original Costume" to an employee who dressed up in blackface and a prison costume for Halloween. She was also heavily criticized for conducting politically-motivated immigration raids.

42. Wade Horn -- As Assistant Secretary for Community Initiatives at the Department of Health and Human Services, Horn funneled millions of tax-payer dollars into right-wing abstinence-only programs. Shortly before he resigned, it was revealed that he had given nearly $1 million "to the National Fatherhood Initiative (NFI), where he was the president for at least three years until joining the Bush administration in 2001."

43. George Deutsch -- As a young, inexperienced press officer for NASA, Deutsch "told public affairs workers to limit reporters' access to a top climate scientist and told a Web designer to add the word 'theory' at every mention of the Big Bang." He resigned in 2006 after it was discovered he had lied on his resume, falsely claiming that he had a journalism degree from Texas A&M.

Dishonorable Mentions: Bush appointees who didn't quite make the list included a child pornography aficionado, a patron of hookers, a shoplifter, a mail fraudster, an operator of an illegal horse gambling ring, and a CIA official who took bribes in the form of prostitutes.


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Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Einstein's Quote of The day - On Group 'think'

Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are even incapable of forming such opinions.

Monday, January 12, 2009

Parts of TARP's Original Mandate MUST be Executed

TARP's Original Mandate MUST be Executed
By Sovereign Society Investment Director Eric Roseman

“This program is intended to fundamentally and comprehensively address the root cause of our financial system’s stresses by removing distressed assets from the financial system.” Treasury Secretary, Hank Paulson, October 2008

Eric Roseman Image

Until they finally create an entity to bundle toxic and mostly illiquid assets, the credit crisis will continue. Thus far, the Treasury has simply handed out tens of billions of dollars directly to banks whom remain reluctant to lend as the economy heads deeper into the financial abyss.

Back in October 2008 – at the height of the global crash – Treasury boss Hank Paulson provided hope that he would finally tackle the clogged mortgage-backed securities crisis affecting global capital markets. Investors demanded the creation of an entity to place bad assets under one roof. But the Treasury has since made a U-turn, changing its original plans.

Mortgage securitization is largely responsible for this crisis. Since 2001 Wall Street spearheaded a bull market in residential lending through the creation of mortgage-backed securities. Indeed, Wall Street – and not traditional banking – was indirectly responsible for more than 70% of all real estate loan origination.

PaulsonUnder TARP’s (Troubled Asset Relief Program) original mandate, the Treasury would apportion a sizable share of the original $700 billion dollars of tax-payer funds to place busted mortgage-backed assets into a separate entity, similar to the 1989-90 Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC) vehicle created to bundle bad loans. The RTC worked to help banks and Savings & Loans to finally separate bad loans and clear the way for economic recovery following the last real estate bear market.

But since October, Paulson has backtracked. Instead of dealing with the crux of the current credit crisis affecting counter-party trust and bank balance-sheet transparency, or the lack thereof, Paulson decided instead to disperse TARP funds directly to banks. Now most banks that have tapped into TARP won’t lend capital to a credit-starved economy. And in some cases, this has resulted in widespread hoarding whereby financial institutions are using TARP money to boost their balance sheets capital ratios. That’s not what the original plan sought to achieve.

Toxic assets include bonds backed by mortgages, including complex mortgage-backed securities, auction-rate securities backed by student loans and potentially a blizzard of other securities tied to commercial mortgages, credit card loans and auto loans. The size of these bad loans continues to grow, compounded by rising defaults made worse by an economy that is rapidly contracting since September.

Meredith Whitney, who ranks as the most accurate bank analyst predicting this credit-inflicted deluge since 2007, predicts banks will be required to fork over even more capital as loan-losses continue to rise. This will only delay any recovery in battered bank balance sheets since the initial TARP objective has been changed.

To be sure, several segments of credit have markedly improved since late November, including the TED Spread, LIBOR, investment-grade corporate bond spreads and even a series of new corporate investment-grade and junk debt issuance since December. But the bad assets still plaguing the American and European financial systems have not been addressed.

Bad assets must be segregated, identified and isolated from the financial system in order to improve institutional counter-party confidence and transparency. The credit crisis remains alive until this primary objective is tackled, if at all, by the next Treasury Secretary.

ERIC ROSEMAN, Investment Director
The Nightmare continues
Banks lose, You win. That Easy
Monday, January 12, 2009 - Vol. 11, No. 10
Federal Reserve Torpedoes Obama’s Stimulus Rally
How Interest Rate Policy Spoiled the P-E’s Party
Also in This Issue:

* Sovereign Wealth Funds Getting Skittish
* What Does UBS stand for?
* Bring Back the TARP!!

Dear A-Letter Reader,

It’s often the case that the most important news isn’t what’s happening in the world today, but what’s not happening in the world today. Case in point; President-elect Obama’s constantly growing stimulus is not driving the market upward.

Going back to the Fall of 2007, the Fed’s interest rate cuts served as an immediate boost that pushed the markets higher. As planned, these infusions of credit helped to boost market confidence and morale…even if only for a few days or weeks.

MatadorTheir effect lessened and lessened as time went on…and the boost from December’s rate cut only lasted a few sessions before being gobbled up by market uncertainty. Now, President-elect Obama is pulling out literally all of the stops in declarations about his planned stimulus…

A few states looking for a few hundred billion quickly grew into a US$1 trillion stimulus package. And the US$1 trillion stimulus package quickly grew into multiple years of US$1 trillion budget deficits. 1.5 million new jobs balloons to 4 million new jobs…but the stock market doesn’t even flinch.

What gives? With what seems like a promise to write blank checks, infusing seemingly unlimited amounts of credit into the flagging economy, why isn’t Obama’s stimulus effort gaining any short-term traction in the marketplace?
It’s a (Liquidity) Trap!!

In monetary economics, a ‘liquidity trap’ happens when a Central Bank’s nominal interest rate reaches zero and investors stop expecting significant returns on their financial and real investments…and start sitting in cash.

Think about it; cash only ever yields zero. But when the Fed’s interest rate hits zero, the same is true of short-term credit. The two are comparable in terms of reward…both yield zero. So there’s no incentive to take a risk and lend when you can expect the same returns from hoarding cash. This is true for both consumers and businesses, and it’s especially true when you account for the increasing default risk and general uncertainty that have become commonplace in today’s markets.

So in its efforts to stimulate the economy, the Fed is actually doing the exact opposite…slowing the economy by adding even more incentive to hoard cash in these troubling times.

Cat in waterAs a result, the marketplace becomes resistant – if not outright immune – to further infusions of credit. Be it through trillions in deficit-spending “stimulus,” or the witchcraft of quantitative easing, the job of stimulating the economy after implementing a zero interest-rate policy becomes much, much more difficult.

And in light of recent news covering the precipitous drop in consumer demand, you’d be hard-pressed to find Obama’s planned stimulus showing any traction in the marketplace. Combined with the rising savings rate, the current freefall in consumer demand means disaster for corporate earnings and – in turn – share prices. This gradual realization will likely continue to offset any boost offered by Obama’s continued pep talks.

In reality, Obama’s pledge to make a new “New Deal” with the American people should be significantly boosting the economy. After all, the prevailing wisdom is that these kinds of policies helped us through the great depression. Those who were crossing their fingers for an “Obama Stimulus Rally” were almost spot-on…except they forgot about one thing.
The onerous burden of Central Bank policy.

No…it appears as though we won’t see a stimulus rally in January after all. And with any rally’s momentum deadened by the liquidity trap, one could reasonably expect that the market has reached its short-term peak.
Special Offer
$592 Trillion Phantom Economy Blows as Latest Demon Derivative Unwinds

The worst demon derivative to date is about to whip down Wall Street…leveling what little is left!
Over 700 banks (with trillions of dollars in assets) will come crashing to the ground.

Hundreds of hedge funds will collapse.
Corporate bankruptcies will soar. And another $20 trillion will be wiped off global stock markets.

But this one bombed out investment will soar two to ten fold as the world comes undone.

Find out the entire story from the investment group who eerily predicted the current crisis “to a T!”…
Sovereign Wealth Funds Get Skittish

“Only 12 months ago pundits claimed most emerging markets would be immune from the credit crisis engulfing the United States and Europe,” says Investment Director Eric Roseman, “They were dead wrong. The emerging markets have plunged more than 65% from their all-time highs while rich oil producing nations, including the Gulf States, have crashed.”

Gulf Bank“On Thursday, the region’s first default occurred as Global Investment House, a top Kuwaiti investment bank, defaulted on most of its $3 billion dollar debt obligation. This follows the Kuwaiti government’s rescue of Gulf Bank, the country’s fourth largest bank in November after suffering massive losses tied to bad trades.”

Most of the world’s largest Sovereign Wealth Funds are dependent on commodities like oil to keep their coffers growing. And after oil’s precipitous drop and the onset of domestic financial troubles, these SWFs are starting to invest closer to home…
“At first, bulging oil surpluses were viewed as a White Knight by troubled Western banks. But now, with oil prices tanking, the region’s SWFs have stopped shopping overseas and have started to repatriate capital, as liquidity grows scarce at home. It’s the same story in Asia where SWFs have halted international investments as domestic capital markets swoon.”

“Nobody is immune from the greatest credit squeeze since the 1930s. Not Russia, not the Gulf States, not China and certainly not India.”

Eric continues…“I suspect that hostile or non-Western friendly oil producing nations will begin to warm up to U.S. foreign policy if oil prices remain at these low levels. Venezuela, Bolivia and Russia come to mind as those nations that until recently have embraced a tough tone, calling the shots on local drilling projects and tossing out the Americans and Europeans following government nationalization of energy infrastructure.”
What Does UBS Stand For?

“For American Clients,” says Legal Counsel and Resident Offshore Expert Bob Bauman
“U Be Screwed!”

Bob was responding to Thursday’s announcements that some 19,000 accounts – representing all of UBS’s American clients – would be closed immediately.

Swiss Army Knife“One of our Swiss advisors in Zurich with whom I spoke today called the UBS action "a high handed violation of trust" and a "crude attempt at their clients’ expense to get ride of a political hot potato,”” said Bob.

“It is also another stark confirmation of the advice the Sovereign Society and its editors have repeated since our founding more than a decade ago -- "Don't bank with UBS or Credit Suisse," -- the two monster-size Swiss banks that cared more about their own expansion and money making then they did about their own clients.”

“UBS says it will transfer the assets to other banks or other divisions within UBS, or will mail checks directly to the account holders, creating paper trails for U.S. prosecutors who are examining whether UBS clients used such accounts to evade taxes.”

Man with Screw“The American clients who may have violated the law by failing to report their UBS accounts suddenly face stark choices brutally forced on them by the bank they trusted: a) they can cash their checks and thereby alert the IRS to any potential wrongdoing, or; b) not cash them, effectively losing their money, or; c) they can transfer the money to new banks, a procedure which requires U.S. depositors of more than $10,000 to report the new account to the U.S. Treasury Department.”

“I can assure you,” says Bob, “based on our authoritative Swiss contacts and advisors, that no other Swiss bank now will accept these soon-to-be ex-UBS clients -- those folks are left our in the Alpine cold.”

What does this mean for Swiss banks in general?

“There are still solid Swiss banks we can recommend that have not, and will not, betray their clients -- banks where Americans are still welcome. We can also direct you to proper Swiss investment, insurance and annuity experts. All those prerogatives come instantly with Sovereign Society membership.”

Less than six months ago, the whole of the business world was crying for a return of the Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC), the government-sponsored vehicle used to clean bad loans off bank balance sheets after the S&L Crisis of the 80’s. And they got it – supposedly – with Paulson’s US$ 700 Billion TARP plan. But the Treasury pulled an about-face, and in the midst of a global panic overhauled the entire plan. So far, over half the money’s been spent (the Bush administration may soon be granting the second half) and not a single “troubled asset” has been purchased? What gives?

Investment Director Eric Roseman has the scoop on why TARP’s original plan was so important, and what the Treasury’s been doing with the money otherwise…

Yours in Personal Sovereignty,

MATTHEW COLLINS, A-Letter Editor

P.S. Former Congressman and Resident Offshore Expert Bob Bauman is among the world’s leading authorities on second passports, and he’s released a special set of videos, “The Ultimate Escape Plan,” to confront the rising uncertainty facing Americans today.

Click here to try it out today and receive a free copy of his bestselling book “The Passport book.”
Special Offer
The one thing you must have when Obama takes office…

It saved Albert Einstein’s life when the Nazis came to power. Government officials and industry leaders around the world use these documents to protect themselves in times of crisis.

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THE SOVEREIGN SOCIETY OFFSHORE A-LETTER
Erika Nolan, Publisher • Bob Bauman, Legal Counsel
Matthew Collins, Managing Editor • Eric Roseman, Investment Director
David Newman, Market Analyst • Sean Hyman, Currency Analyst
Autumn Dodson, Email Marketing Manager

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Chains' ties run deep on pharmacy boards

Chains' ties run deep on pharmacy boards
1/1/09 3 p.m. (PST)
Updated 1d 2h ago | Comment | Recommend E-mail | Save | Print | Reprints & Permissions |


Enlarge By Oscar Sosa, for USA TODAY

This is the Walgreens in Jacksonville, Fla., where Terry Paul Smith purchased a mis-filled prescription, which killed him.



RX FOR ERRORS

Regulation: Chains' ties run deep on pharmacy boards; see nationwide graphic



'Landmark' legislation: Ohio toughens state laws for pharmacy technicians | Florida law prescribes rules for pharmacy techs



Washington reacts: Congress considers action in wake of 2-year-old's death in Ohio



GRAPHIC: How prescriptions are filled, how mistakes are made, and what pharmacies are doing to prevent them



From our Special Report -- DAY 1: Speed, volume can trigger mistakes | Debate: Corporate policies can cause errors, retired pharmacist says | They actually help, current pharmacist says



DAY 2: One pharmacy's fatal mistake; hear woman's story of her late husband | Drugstore chains rely on pharmacy technicians



DAY 3: Many lawsuits against pharmacies settled in silence | Minimizing risks: 9 steps you can take | Pharmacist counseling helps




INSPECTIONS LIMITED

Many state pharmacy boards are hobbled by funding and personnel shortages that allow pharmacies to operate for years at a stretch without undergoing on-site safety inspections, a USA TODAY review found.

At least 25 states lack laws that specify how often the boards' staffs must inspect pharmacies after the stores obtain initial licenses and open for business. Although most of the boards conduct inspections regardless, funding and staffing strains limit their efforts.

For example, the Texas pharmacy board tries to inspect each of the state's more than 4,400 pharmacies every two years. But with just six compliance staffers, some pharmacies go unchecked for as long as four years, says Allison Benz, the board's director of professional services.

Massachusetts said the state's more than 1,000 pharmacies are inspected randomly, and just 124 were checked in 2007.

"We have some places out there where pharmacies have not been inspected for 10 or 15 years," Richard Palombo, president of the National Association of Boards of Pharmacy, warned during the independent group's annual convention in May.

As state agencies nationwide cope with fewer resources, the independent organization is exploring ways to help pharmacy boards fulfill their oversight mission.

"I'll tell you right up front, none of us are ever going to have enough resources for the job," says Virginia Herold, executive officer of the pharmacy board in California, where the state's more than 6,000 pharmacies are inspected roughly once every four years.

By Kevin McCoy




Enlarge By Oscar Sosa for USA TODAY

Pearl Smith's husband, Terry Paul Smith, died of an overdose due to prescription drug mislabeling.


Read more on WAG at





Yahoo! Buzz Digg Newsvine Reddit FacebookWhat's this?By Kevin McCoy, USA TODAY
When the Illinois Board of Pharmacy meets, Philip Burgess, national director of pharmacy affairs at Walgreens (WAG), the Illinois-based firm that's the nation's largest drugstore chain in sales and profits, chairs the sessions.
Michael Podgurski, vice president of pharmacy services for Rite Aid, (RAD) leads pharmacy board meetings in Pennsylvania, the headquarters of the East Coast's largest pharmacy chain.


READ OUR SPECIAL REPORT: Rx for Errors

Bob Dufour, the former director of pharmacy services for Arkansas-based Wal-Mart (WMT), chairs that state's board.

Kay Hanson, the pharmacy regulatory affairs manager for Target (TGT), serves on the board in Minnesota, the firm's corporate base. And James DeVita, CVS' (CVS) quality assurance director, is on the Massachusetts board.

FIND MORE STORIES IN: Florida | Philadelphia | Minnesota | Pennsylvania | Massachusetts | East Coast | District of Columbia | Nevada | Target | Sciences | CVS Corp. | Rite Aid | Illinois-based | National Association of Chain Drug Stores | Michael Polzin | National Association of Boards of Pharmacy
The five executives aren't the only retail chain pharmacists who serve on the state panels assigned to oversee prescription drug safety for the American public. A USA TODAY examination shows employees of major drugstore chains or supermarket pharmacies accounted for nearly one in four of the 295 pharmacists on the panels this year.

The appointments give consumers the benefit of the pharmacists' expertise. But they also give the chains a network with potential say about decisions that affect the pharmacy industry.

Most chain pharmacists abstain from votes that have a direct impact on their firms. DeVita, for instance, didn't vote on a 2005-06 investigation of CVS prescription errors, records show. But USA TODAY's examination, which included a survey of pharmacy boards in the 50 states and the District of Columbia, plus court and government records and information from the firms, found potential or alleged conflicts:

•Two Walgreens pharmacists on Florida's board opposed the maximum fine for another Walgreens pharmacist who failed to catch a prescription error that led to a construction worker's death.

•Before retiring from Wal-Mart in 2007, Dufour took part in discussions and votes on a cost-saving system for filling prescriptions that could benefit retail pharmacies, including Wal-Mart.

•In Nevada, where chain representatives hold four of the six pharmacist seats, the lone member representing the public heads an advocacy group that represents chain pharmacies. She recuses herself from disciplinary matters involving those firms, prompting a complaint that state residents have been deprived of a voice.

•At this year's convention of the National Association of Boards of Pharmacy, an independent organization that helps the state panels develop uniform standards, a chain pharmacy industry group spent more than $21,000 on a reception for pharmacy board delegates.

"The chains aggressively seek as much representation on the boards as they possibly can," says Daniel Hussar, a pharmacy professor at Philadelphia's University of the Sciences and editor of the Pharmacist Activist newsletter.

Burgess testified in a 2007 court deposition that Walgreens encourages its pharmacists to seek board seats because "it's very important for our employees to be actively engaged with their professional associations and their boards of pharmacy."

Who serves

Hussar says he's concerned the chains could "promote individuals who have a high loyalty" to their employers — rather than to consumers — for the posts.

Pharmacy chains and an industry group representing them dispute any such conclusion. "Members of pharmacy boards serve as advocates for public safety, not as representatives of their employers," says CVS spokesman Michael DeAngelis, echoing Walgreens, Rite Aid and Wal-Mart.

"Pharmacists consider it an honor to serve on their board. They make decisions that impact people's lives. It is their duty to protect public health and safety — and they uphold that duty with the utmost sincerity and responsibility," says Chrissy Kopple, a spokeswoman for the National Association of Chain Drug Stores.

The chains say pharmacists use their own judgment on board issues. But Walgreens spokesman Michael Polzin says the firm's pharmacists on the panels may ask for background "on an industry issue the board is debating … and we may supply it."

Noting that most oversight boards include active practitioners, Polzin adds that "someone who practices the profession will be a more valuable resource." More pharmacists work for chains than for any other employer, so "it should not be surprising that they are selected to serve on state boards of pharmacy," Kopple says.

Pharmacy board members, typically appointed by state governors, are assigned to protect public health and safety in the dispensing of prescription drugs. Pharmacists comprise the majority of each board, but the panels also include non-pharmacists appointed to represent the public.

Although duties vary from state to state, the boards typically license pharmacies and pharmacists, set training standards, oversee pharmacy inspections and hold disciplinary proceedings for alleged safety violations.

As drugstore chains grew, their pharmacists have won dozens of board seats. USA TODAY documented that network, finding that Walgreens and CVS, the two largest chains, are tied for the most with at least 21 seats each.

States require board members to obey conflict of interest regulations. But USA TODAY's review of board records, meeting minutes and interviews — which followed February stories that showed pharmacies' policies can contribute to prescription errors — found potential conflicts.

In June 2005, Florida's pharmacy board held a disciplinary hearing for Tonya Pearson, a Walgreens pharmacist in Jacksonville. She was accused of failing to catch a dosage-instruction error on a methadone prescription for Terry Paul Smith, a 46-year-old roofer who was prescribed the drug for pain relief.

The error was made by a pharmacy technician who typed the prescription into a Walgreens computer. Smith died of an overdose within 36 hours after getting the prescription.

During the Florida hearing, Gail Merrell, the Walgreens pharmacist who chaired the panel, said her employment would not "affect my ability to render judgment," a hearing tape shows. Albert Garcia, a board member who also worked for Walgreens, made a similar statement.

As the panel deliberated penalties, board member Eric Alvarez, a pharmacist not affiliated with Walgreens, made a motion to impose the $10,000 maximum state fine. "At least this record would show that this board would be sympathetic to the consumers in the state of Florida, which we're sworn to protect," he said.

But the motion failed for lack of a seconding vote. Merrell, saying she disagreed with the maximum penalty, proposed a $500 fine, the hearing tape shows.

"I think that a misfill by a pharmacist is their worst nightmare, and we've had many people before the board who've had misfills. And I really believe that education is the key here — getting the pharmacist to rethink his steps and to re-educate them," Merrell said.

The board compromised, fining Peters $1,000 and requiring her to complete an education course on avoiding errors. Merrell and Garcia voted with the 5-1 majority, with Alvarez dissenting.

"All I could do was kind of get into my car, and cry, and beat the steering wheel and scream out obscenities," said Smith's widow, Pearl, who attended the hearing and recounted her reaction in a subsequent interview. She called the votes of the Walgreens pharmacists, who declined to discuss the case, "a definite conflict."

Florida guidelines, however, say board members only face a conflict by acting on matters involving a "special private gain" for them or for "a principal by whom the member is retained."

Nonetheless, Walgreens spokesman Polzin says the firm's pharmacists should have recused themselves from the Peters hearing "to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest."

Walgreens had no contact with the pharmacists about the hearing, he says.

Workload pondered

During the last two years, the Arkansas Board of Pharmacy weighed a regulatory change that would authorize retail pharmacies to fill prescriptions using a so-called off-site entry process. When a pharmacist in one store is busy with many prescriptions, such systems enable a pharmacist in another store to help with the workload via computer.

Walgreens and Wal-Mart requested the changes, pharmacy board records show. Dufour, the board's chairman and at the time, Wal-Mart's director of pharmacy services, recused himself from a 2006 vote that extended a pilot project to test whether off-site entry systems could increase prescription errors.

But board minutes show he joined in the unanimous June 2007 vote that approved a new regulation authorizing an off-site entry system in retail pharmacies.

Charles Campbell, the board's executive director, says Dufour properly abstained from voting on extending the pilot project because it directly involved Wal-Mart. Dufour's votes on the final approval and other steps "were on motions that applied broadly to the retail pharmacy industry and not solely to Wal-Mart," says Campbell, adding, "I see no reason why he should have recused from those votes."

Dufour did not return an e-mail message seeking comment.

In Nevada, pharmacists employed by Walgreens, CVS, Wal-Mart and Albertsons hold four of the six board seats designated for pharmacists. The relative under-representation of independent pharmacists "does create an appearance problem," says Larry Pinson, the board's executive secretary. However, he says it's difficult to get candidates from Nevada's small roster of non-chain drugstores.

The lone Nevada board member designated as the public representative of the state's residents is Mary Lau, CEO of the Retail Association of Nevada. Her organization represents businesses across the state, including chain pharmacies. To avoid conflicts of interest, Lau has repeatedly abstained from votes that directly affect the association's pharmacy members since she joined the board in late 2007. But that procedure has raised new questions.

"In most cases, she recuses (herself from voting), so it's essentially like not having a public board member," Pinson says. "I suppose the question is, if I were a member of the public, would I feel as though I was being represented? If she has to recuse on everything, probably not."

Khanh Pham, president of the Nevada Pharmacist Association, filed a 2008 complaint with the state ethics commission that said Lau "deprives … constituents of a voice" by abstaining.

"If you have a public member just sit there … what kind of service do you provide to the people?" Pham asked in a recent interview.

The ethics commission, however, dismissed the complaint for lack of jurisdiction. A spokesman for Gov. Jim Gibbons, who appointed Lau, did not return a message seeking comment.

Lau says she abstains only when the board considers disciplinary matters involving a specific pharmacy represented by the retail association. Other board members safeguard the public's interest when she can't participate, she says.

"I bring a very strong perspective from the public side, because I know what pharmacy should do when it is working properly," Lau says.

Tradition rules

During the annual convention of the National Association of Boards of Pharmacy last May, hundreds of state board delegates nibbled spring rolls and sipped cocktails during a reception in Baltimore's Marriott Waterfront Hotel.

The $21,286 event — paid for by the National Association of Chain Drug Stores, whose members are regulated by the state boards — posed what one official called a potential ethics issue.

"We've tried to get rid of it … to avoid the conflict," says Carmen Catizone, executive director of the National Association of Boards of Pharmacy. But, he adds, the reception is a "tradition."

Disputing any suggestion of a conflict, Kopple, the industry group spokeswoman, notes that Catizone's group is not a regulatory agency. "We're pleased to support an effort that has all these pharmacists together looking out for the best interests of the nation's patients," she says.

Hussar, the pharmacy professor, says the tradition should end. "When it comes to a relationship between the regulators and the regulated, I really feel there has to be a separation," he says.